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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+0.79vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.29+3.18vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.87+1.09vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.27-0.51vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.11+0.49vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.56-1.37vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-2.12vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara-0.56-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.79Stanford University2.550.5%1st Place
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5.18University of California at Berkeley0.290.1%1st Place
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4.09University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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3.49University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
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5.49University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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4.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.560.1%1st Place
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4.88California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.1%1st Place
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6.44University of California at Santa Barbara-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallie Schiffman | 52.8% | 26.6% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 5.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 14.6% |
| Kahala Novak-Furukawa | 9.3% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Diya Correa | 13.3% | 21.0% | 19.9% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Cassandra Shand | 3.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 20.7% | 18.4% |
| Tara Rogers | 7.3% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 8.0% |
| Hailey Thompson | 6.6% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 11.0% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 1.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 18.8% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.