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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+0.79vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.29+3.18vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.56+1.65vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.56+2.49vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.87-0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.27-2.54vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-2.10vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.11-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.79Stanford University2.550.5%1st Place
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5.18University of California at Berkeley0.290.1%1st Place
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4.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.560.1%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Santa Barbara-0.560.0%1st Place
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4.12University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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3.46University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
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4.9California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.1%1st Place
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5.4University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallie Schiffman | 53.1% | 26.2% | 12.3% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 13.0% |
| Tara Rogers | 7.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 7.5% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 1.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 45.8% |
| Kahala Novak-Furukawa | 8.6% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 3.8% |
| Diya Correa | 14.3% | 18.7% | 23.2% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Hailey Thompson | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 11.4% |
| Cassandra Shand | 3.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.