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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.09+1.16vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38-0.14vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.01+0.63vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.03-0.27vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.13-1.10vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-2.55-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16University of South Florida1.0932.2%1st Place
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1.86Jacksonville University-1.3844.6%1st Place
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3.63North Carolina State University0.019.0%1st Place
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3.73University of Miami-0.037.0%1st Place
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3.9Rollins College-0.136.5%1st Place
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5.72Florida State University-2.550.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 32.2% | 34.6% | 21.1% | 9.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Emily Allen | 44.6% | 32.6% | 16.2% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Lyla Solway | 9.0% | 11.3% | 22.2% | 27.0% | 26.4% | 4.0% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 7.0% | 11.5% | 20.2% | 28.2% | 28.4% | 4.6% |
| Julia Scott | 6.5% | 9.2% | 18.1% | 26.2% | 34.8% | 5.3% |
| Olivia Figley | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 85.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.