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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+0.93vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.27+2.02vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.29+2.88vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.87+0.51vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+0.31vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+0.10vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.11-0.78vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.56-2.76vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.29-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93Stanford University2.550.5%1st Place
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4.02University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Santa Barbara0.290.0%1st Place
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4.51University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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5.31California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.1%1st Place
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6.1University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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6.22University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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5.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.560.1%1st Place
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5.8University of California at Berkeley0.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallie Schiffman | 49.3% | 25.0% | 15.1% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 9.9% | 17.2% | 19.5% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Catherine Reynolds | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 17.9% |
| Kahala Novak-Furukawa | 9.1% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Hailey Thompson | 6.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 10.5% |
| Alexis Miller | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 18.4% |
| Cassandra Shand | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 21.7% |
| Tara Rogers | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 9.2% |
| Katey Hayes | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.