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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+0.94vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.56+3.46vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+3.18vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.27-0.26vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.29+0.65vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-0.56vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.29-1.17vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.87-3.39vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.11-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Stanford University2.550.5%1st Place
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5.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.560.0%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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3.74University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Santa Barbara0.290.1%1st Place
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5.44California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.1%1st Place
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5.83University of California at Berkeley0.290.1%1st Place
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4.61University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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6.15University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallie Schiffman | 47.9% | 26.4% | 15.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tara Rogers | 4.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 10.7% |
| Alexis Miller | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 22.1% |
| Diya Correa | 14.1% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Catherine Reynolds | 5.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 14.7% |
| Hailey Thompson | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.8% |
| Katey Hayes | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 12.9% | 15.5% |
| Kahala Novak-Furukawa | 8.5% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Cassandra Shand | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.