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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+0.86vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+3.04vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.11+2.63vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.87+0.31vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.29+0.38vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.56-1.17vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.27-3.30vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.29-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Stanford University2.550.5%1st Place
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5.04California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.1%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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4.31University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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5.38University of California at Berkeley0.290.1%1st Place
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4.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.560.1%1st Place
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3.7University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
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5.25University of California at Santa Barbara0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallie Schiffman | 50.2% | 27.6% | 12.9% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Thompson | 6.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 14.5% |
| Cassandra Shand | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 26.3% |
| Kahala Novak-Furukawa | 8.8% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 6.6% |
| Katey Hayes | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 19.8% |
| Tara Rogers | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 12.3% |
| Diya Correa | 13.6% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Catherine Reynolds | 4.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.