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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+0.87vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+3.48vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.11+3.02vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.56+0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.87-0.68vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara-0.56+1.13vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.29-1.41vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.27-4.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Stanford University2.550.5%1st Place
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5.48California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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4.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.560.1%1st Place
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4.32University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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7.13University of California at Santa Barbara-0.560.0%1st Place
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5.59University of California at Berkeley0.290.1%1st Place
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3.73University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
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5.89University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallie Schiffman | 48.8% | 28.3% | 14.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Thompson | 4.1% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 9.3% |
| Cassandra Shand | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 16.1% |
| Tara Rogers | 6.2% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 6.2% |
| Kahala Novak-Furukawa | 10.8% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 20.9% | 38.5% |
| Katey Hayes | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 10.9% |
| Diya Correa | 13.7% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Alexis Miller | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.