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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+0.89vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.87+2.63vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.11+3.01vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.27-0.37vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.56-0.07vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.29-0.47vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.56+0.21vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-2.74vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Stanford University2.550.5%1st Place
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4.63University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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6.01University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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3.63University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
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4.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.560.1%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Berkeley0.290.1%1st Place
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7.21University of California at Santa Barbara-0.560.0%1st Place
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5.26California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.1%1st Place
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5.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallie Schiffman | 50.3% | 25.4% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kahala Novak-Furukawa | 6.3% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Cassandra Shand | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 16.9% |
| Diya Correa | 14.2% | 20.2% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Tara Rogers | 7.3% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 6.6% |
| Katey Hayes | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 9.7% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 18.8% | 41.0% |
| Hailey Thompson | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 7.6% |
| Alexis Miller | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.