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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.27+2.55vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55-0.12vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.29+2.36vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.87+0.34vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.11+0.67vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.56-1.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.29-1.61vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
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1.88Stanford University2.550.5%1st Place
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5.36University of California at Berkeley0.290.1%1st Place
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4.34University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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5.67University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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4.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.560.1%1st Place
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5.39University of California at Santa Barbara0.290.0%1st Place
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4.95California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diya Correa | 13.5% | 20.2% | 20.6% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 49.4% | 27.9% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 19.5% |
| Kahala Novak-Furukawa | 9.4% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% |
| Cassandra Shand | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 25.2% |
| Tara Rogers | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 12.3% |
| Catherine Reynolds | 4.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 20.5% |
| Hailey Thompson | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.