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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria-0.56+6.38vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.72+2.13vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.10+0.33vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.62+0.39vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.43-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.10+2.69vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.64+0.36vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.10-0.50vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.25-4.92vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.11-4.90vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.33-2.73vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.20-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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4.13Western Washington University0.720.1%1st Place
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3.33University of Washington1.100.2%1st Place
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4.39University of Victoria0.620.1%1st Place
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4.82Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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8.69University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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7.36Western Washington University-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.5Western Washington University-1.100.0%1st Place
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5.08University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Washington-0.110.1%1st Place
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9.27Western Washington University-1.330.0%1st Place
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8.96University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Sanchez | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 6.2% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 14.5% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Blake Winner | 24.6% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Angus Wilson | 12.8% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 12.4% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 18.3% |
| Madelyn Carr | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% |
| Hayley Rawden | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 16.9% |
| Zackery Martin | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Taylor Bayly | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 20.0% | 25.9% |
| Hannah Stevens | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.