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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.10+2.36vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.72+2.15vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.62+1.30vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.43+0.76vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.25+0.23vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.56+1.34vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.11-0.96vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.10+0.58vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.33+0.13vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.64-2.59vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.10-2.24vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.20-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36University of Washington1.100.2%1st Place
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4.15Western Washington University0.720.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Victoria0.620.2%1st Place
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4.76Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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7.34University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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6.04University of Washington-0.110.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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9.13Western Washington University-1.330.0%1st Place
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7.41Western Washington University-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.76Western Washington University-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.94University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Winner | 22.7% | 18.3% | 18.8% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 14.9% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Angus Wilson | 15.5% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 11.4% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Zackery Martin | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 5.6% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 19.0% |
| Taylor Bayly | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 23.3% |
| Madelyn Carr | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 6.9% |
| Hayley Rawden | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 18.9% | 18.6% |
| Hannah Stevens | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.