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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.72+3.17vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.56+5.31vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.11+3.14vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.43+0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.10-1.67vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.62-1.66vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.25-2.80vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.10-0.46vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.10-1.40vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.64-3.59vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.20-3.00vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.33-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Western Washington University0.720.2%1st Place
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7.31University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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6.14University of Washington-0.110.1%1st Place
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4.74Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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3.33University of Washington1.100.2%1st Place
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4.34University of Victoria0.620.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.6Western Washington University-1.100.0%1st Place
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7.41Western Washington University-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.0University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.21Western Washington University-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Wittkopf | 15.7% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 6.2% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 10.7% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Blake Winner | 22.7% | 23.7% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Angus Wilson | 14.5% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Zackery Martin | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 18.3% |
| Hayley Rawden | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 16.7% |
| Madelyn Carr | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 7.0% |
| Hannah Stevens | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 22.0% |
| Taylor Bayly | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.