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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.72+3.15vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.56+5.23vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.43+1.75vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.11+2.16vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.64+2.53vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.10+2.69vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.10-3.66vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.62-3.72vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.33+0.09vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.25-4.80vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.10-3.29vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.20-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Western Washington University0.720.2%1st Place
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7.23University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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4.75Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Washington-0.110.1%1st Place
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7.53Western Washington University-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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3.34University of Washington1.100.2%1st Place
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4.28University of Victoria0.620.2%1st Place
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9.09Western Washington University-1.330.0%1st Place
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5.2University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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8.71Western Washington University-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Wittkopf | 15.4% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 5.7% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 13.2% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Madelyn Carr | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 18.6% |
| Blake Winner | 24.1% | 20.0% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Angus Wilson | 15.3% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Bayly | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 23.0% |
| Zackery Martin | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Hayley Rawden | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 18.1% |
| Hannah Stevens | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.