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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria-0.56+6.42vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.43+2.81vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.72+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.62+0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.11+1.15vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.10-2.69vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.64+0.37vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.10+0.52vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.10-0.40vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.33-0.95vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.25-5.62vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.20-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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4.81Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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4.13Western Washington University0.720.2%1st Place
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4.33University of Victoria0.620.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Washington-0.110.1%1st Place
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3.31University of Washington1.100.2%1st Place
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7.37Western Washington University-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.52Western Washington University-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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9.05Western Washington University-1.330.0%1st Place
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5.38University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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8.94University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Sanchez | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 10.7% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 16.2% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Angus Wilson | 14.1% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Blake Winner | 24.6% | 19.6% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madelyn Carr | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% |
| Hayley Rawden | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 18.2% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 15.9% |
| Taylor Bayly | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 24.9% |
| Zackery Martin | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Stevens | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.