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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.72+3.18vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.10+1.32vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.62+1.32vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.33+5.19vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.56+2.36vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.43-1.19vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.11-0.99vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.64-0.61vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.10-0.45vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.10-2.46vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.25-6.59vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.20-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18Western Washington University0.720.2%1st Place
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3.32University of Washington1.100.2%1st Place
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4.32University of Victoria0.620.1%1st Place
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9.19Western Washington University-1.330.0%1st Place
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7.36University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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4.81Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Washington-0.110.1%1st Place
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7.39Western Washington University-0.640.1%1st Place
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8.55University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.54Western Washington University-1.100.0%1st Place
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5.41University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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8.92University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Wittkopf | 16.7% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Blake Winner | 22.1% | 21.8% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Angus Wilson | 14.9% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Bayly | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 25.5% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Madelyn Carr | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 7.9% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 16.0% |
| Hayley Rawden | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 16.5% |
| Zackery Martin | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Stevens | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.