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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.10+2.36vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.11+4.18vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.56+4.33vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.72+0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.62-0.68vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.43-1.22vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.25-1.84vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.33+1.08vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.10-0.40vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.64-2.59vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.20-3.01vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.10-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36University of Washington1.100.2%1st Place
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6.18University of Washington-0.110.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Victoria-0.560.1%1st Place
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4.12Western Washington University0.720.1%1st Place
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4.32University of Victoria0.620.1%1st Place
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4.78Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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9.08Western Washington University-1.330.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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7.41Western Washington University-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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8.68Western Washington University-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Winner | 23.6% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 6.5% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 14.1% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Angus Wilson | 14.7% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Zackery Martin | 11.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Bayly | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 26.0% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 16.7% |
| Madelyn Carr | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 7.2% |
| Hannah Stevens | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 20.9% |
| Hayley Rawden | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.