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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.72+3.21vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.62+2.36vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.10+0.31vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.56+3.37vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.11+1.13vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.33+3.21vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.10+1.50vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.43-3.27vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.25-3.95vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.64-2.55vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-1.20-2.03vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.10-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Western Washington University0.720.2%1st Place
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4.36University of Victoria0.620.1%1st Place
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3.31University of Washington1.100.2%1st Place
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7.37University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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6.13University of Washington-0.110.1%1st Place
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9.21Western Washington University-1.330.0%1st Place
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8.5University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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4.73Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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7.45Western Washington University-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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8.7Western Washington University-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Wittkopf | 15.7% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Angus Wilson | 14.0% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Blake Winner | 23.6% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Taylor Bayly | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 19.2% | 27.0% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 16.9% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 13.9% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Zackery Martin | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Madelyn Carr | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 6.5% |
| Hannah Stevens | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 18.5% | 20.8% |
| Hayley Rawden | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.