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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.51+2.60vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.14+2.34vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.49+2.69vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.77-0.94vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.58+1.00vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.82+0.48vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.79-0.68vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.48-2.39vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-2.92+1.41vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.77-4.71vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.98-2.93vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-3.53-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6University of Victoria0.510.2%1st Place
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4.34Western Washington University0.140.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Victoria-0.490.1%1st Place
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3.06University of Oregon0.770.3%1st Place
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6.0Western Washington University-0.580.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Washington-0.820.1%1st Place
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6.32Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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10.41Western Washington University-2.920.0%1st Place
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6.29University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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9.07Western Washington University-1.980.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Victoria-3.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Whitmore | 18.0% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 15.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Hicks | 12.9% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Martindale | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Arthur Bruce | 25.2% | 24.0% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tan | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Bell | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Maddie Tutton | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Emily Hammond | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 5.9% | 14.6% | 40.9% | 27.4% |
| Avery Wolf | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Rebecca Sharp | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 28.3% | 21.7% | 8.8% |
| Liam Welgun-Gunn | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 7.4% | 21.2% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.