← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Victoria0.51+2.56vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.14+2.33vs Predicted
-
3University of Victoria-0.49+2.74vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-0.82+2.51vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington-0.77+1.42vs Predicted
-
6University of Oregon0.77-2.98vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University-0.58-1.21vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington-0.48-2.41vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University-2.92+1.42vs Predicted
-
10Western Washington University-1.98-1.11vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University-0.79-4.42vs Predicted
-
13University of Victoria-3.53-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.56University of Victoria0.510.2%1st Place
-
4.33Western Washington University0.140.1%1st Place
-
5.74University of Victoria-0.490.1%1st Place
-
6.51University of Washington-0.820.0%1st Place
-
6.42University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
-
3.02University of Oregon0.770.3%1st Place
-
5.79Western Washington University-0.580.1%1st Place
-
5.59University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
-
10.42Western Washington University-2.920.0%1st Place
-
8.89Western Washington University-1.980.0%1st Place
-
6.58Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
-
11.13University of Victoria-3.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Whitmore | 18.1% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Hicks | 12.4% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Martindale | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Bell | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Avery Wolf | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Arthur Bruce | 27.3% | 21.4% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tan | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Maddie Tutton | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Emily Hammond | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 16.5% | 38.3% | 28.9% |
| Rebecca Sharp | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 28.6% | 20.9% | 7.3% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 5.2% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Liam Welgun-Gunn | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 6.9% | 22.3% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.