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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.82+5.58vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.51+1.53vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.77+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.77+2.43vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.14-0.64vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.58-0.02vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.48-1.37vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.49-2.34vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.79-3.67vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.98-2.10vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-3.53-0.88vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-2.92-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58University of Washington-0.820.1%1st Place
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3.53University of Victoria0.510.2%1st Place
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3.05University of Oregon0.770.3%1st Place
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6.43University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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4.36Western Washington University0.140.1%1st Place
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5.98Western Washington University-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Victoria-0.490.1%1st Place
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6.33Western Washington University-0.790.0%1st Place
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8.9Western Washington University-1.980.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Victoria-3.530.0%1st Place
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10.43Western Washington University-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Bell | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Dale Whitmore | 19.2% | 20.3% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Bruce | 26.5% | 21.4% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Wolf | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Hicks | 13.5% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tan | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Tutton | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Michelle Martindale | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Sharp | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 27.8% | 21.0% | 7.6% |
| Liam Welgun-Gunn | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 8.3% | 21.2% | 61.4% |
| Emily Hammond | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 14.1% | 40.5% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.