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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.51+2.58vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.14+2.29vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.77+0.04vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.82+2.57vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.49+0.79vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.77+0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.48-1.39vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.58-2.14vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.79-2.65vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.98-1.10vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-3.53+0.12vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-2.92-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58University of Victoria0.510.2%1st Place
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4.29Western Washington University0.140.1%1st Place
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3.04University of Oregon0.770.3%1st Place
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6.57University of Washington-0.820.0%1st Place
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5.79University of Victoria-0.490.1%1st Place
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6.43University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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5.86Western Washington University-0.580.1%1st Place
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6.35Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
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8.9Western Washington University-1.980.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Victoria-3.530.0%1st Place
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10.44Western Washington University-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Whitmore | 19.8% | 18.0% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Hicks | 12.5% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Bruce | 26.0% | 22.2% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Bell | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Michelle Martindale | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Avery Wolf | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Maddie Tutton | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Emily Tan | 8.4% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Sharp | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 14.2% | 27.0% | 21.9% | 7.5% |
| Liam Welgun-Gunn | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 7.9% | 21.2% | 61.5% |
| Emily Hammond | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 13.5% | 40.4% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.