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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.48+4.76vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon0.77+1.02vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.58+2.98vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.14+0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.51-1.44vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.98+3.01vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.77-0.76vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-3.53+3.08vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.79-2.70vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.82-3.56vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.49-5.12vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-2.92-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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3.02University of Oregon0.770.3%1st Place
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5.98Western Washington University-0.580.1%1st Place
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4.27Western Washington University0.140.1%1st Place
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3.56University of Victoria0.510.2%1st Place
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9.01Western Washington University-1.980.0%1st Place
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6.24University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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11.08University of Victoria-3.530.0%1st Place
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6.3Western Washington University-0.790.0%1st Place
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6.44University of Washington-0.820.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Victoria-0.490.1%1st Place
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10.47Western Washington University-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Tutton | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Arthur Bruce | 25.8% | 22.5% | 17.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tan | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Hicks | 13.4% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dale Whitmore | 20.2% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Sharp | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 28.7% | 24.3% | 7.2% |
| Avery Wolf | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Liam Welgun-Gunn | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 7.7% | 22.0% | 59.1% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Bell | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Michelle Martindale | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Emily Hammond | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 12.6% | 40.6% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.