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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.51+2.60vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.14+2.33vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.79+3.43vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.77-0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.49+0.80vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.58-0.03vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.48-1.39vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.77-2.73vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.82-3.59vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.98-2.07vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-3.53-0.86vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-2.92-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6University of Victoria0.510.2%1st Place
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4.33Western Washington University0.140.1%1st Place
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6.43Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
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3.06University of Oregon0.770.3%1st Place
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5.8University of Victoria-0.490.1%1st Place
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5.97Western Washington University-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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6.41University of Washington-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.93Western Washington University-1.980.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Victoria-3.530.0%1st Place
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10.46Western Washington University-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Whitmore | 18.9% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Hicks | 12.9% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Arthur Bruce | 26.3% | 22.7% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Martindale | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Tan | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Tutton | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Avery Wolf | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Bell | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Sharp | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 26.4% | 22.6% | 7.7% |
| Liam Welgun-Gunn | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 8.3% | 21.5% | 61.5% |
| Emily Hammond | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 14.2% | 40.3% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.