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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.51+2.57vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.14+2.33vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.77+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.82+2.51vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.49+0.77vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.48-0.25vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.77-0.69vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.58-2.14vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.98-0.08vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.79-4.66vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-2.92-1.54vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-3.53-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57University of Victoria0.510.2%1st Place
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4.33Western Washington University0.140.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Oregon0.770.3%1st Place
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6.51University of Washington-0.820.0%1st Place
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5.77University of Victoria-0.490.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.86Western Washington University-0.580.1%1st Place
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8.92Western Washington University-1.980.0%1st Place
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6.34Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
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10.46Western Washington University-2.920.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Victoria-3.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Whitmore | 19.5% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Hicks | 12.4% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Bruce | 25.6% | 23.3% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Bell | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Michelle Martindale | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Tutton | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Avery Wolf | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Emily Tan | 8.3% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Rebecca Sharp | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 28.1% | 22.2% | 5.5% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Emily Hammond | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 40.3% | 30.7% |
| Liam Welgun-Gunn | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 22.4% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.