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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.51+2.51vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.14+2.28vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.77+3.43vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.79+2.46vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.49+0.73vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.48-0.26vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.77-4.03vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.98+0.89vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.58-3.17vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-2.92+0.37vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.82-4.35vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-3.53-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51University of Victoria0.510.2%1st Place
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4.28Western Washington University0.140.1%1st Place
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6.43University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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6.46Western Washington University-0.790.0%1st Place
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5.73University of Victoria-0.490.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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2.97University of Oregon0.770.3%1st Place
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8.89Western Washington University-1.980.0%1st Place
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5.83Western Washington University-0.580.1%1st Place
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10.37Western Washington University-2.920.0%1st Place
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6.65University of Washington-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Victoria-3.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Whitmore | 20.5% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Hicks | 13.1% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Avery Wolf | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Michelle Martindale | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Maddie Tutton | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Arthur Bruce | 29.6% | 20.3% | 17.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Sharp | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 28.0% | 21.0% | 7.7% |
| Emily Tan | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Hammond | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 6.1% | 12.8% | 39.4% | 29.2% |
| Taylor Bell | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Liam Welgun-Gunn | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 6.4% | 23.7% | 60.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.