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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.51+2.57vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.58+3.96vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.770.00vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.14+0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.77+1.43vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.49-0.24vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-2.92+3.27vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.48-2.35vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.82-2.61vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.79-3.58vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.98-1.90vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-3.53-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57University of Victoria0.510.2%1st Place
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5.96Western Washington University-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.0University of Oregon0.770.3%1st Place
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4.29Western Washington University0.140.1%1st Place
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6.43University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Victoria-0.490.1%1st Place
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10.27Western Washington University-2.920.0%1st Place
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5.65University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Washington-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.42Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
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9.1Western Washington University-1.980.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Victoria-3.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Whitmore | 19.3% | 19.3% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tan | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Arthur Bruce | 27.5% | 21.1% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Hicks | 11.5% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Avery Wolf | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Michelle Martindale | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Hammond | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 6.3% | 14.6% | 37.7% | 28.1% |
| Maddie Tutton | 9.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Bell | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Rebecca Sharp | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 13.2% | 28.1% | 24.1% | 7.9% |
| Liam Welgun-Gunn | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 21.1% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.