Race 2A

saisa-co-ed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jack Brown 26.9% 21.6% 19.5% 11.6% 8.0% 5.2% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Jack Gower 13.2% 15.5% 12.9% 13.6% 12.4% 10.3% 9.0% 4.9% 4.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Ian Willoughby 8.3% 8.1% 10.5% 10.4% 8.6% 10.7% 12.9% 9.4% 11.1% 5.4% 2.8% 1.8%
Christian Koules 4.0% 4.8% 6.2% 9.2% 8.3% 10.3% 10.2% 11.0% 10.2% 11.2% 9.4% 5.2%
TJ Danilek 8.8% 10.8% 10.6% 10.3% 12.9% 9.8% 10.1% 10.5% 6.6% 5.1% 3.5% 1.0%
Richard McCann 9.5% 9.4% 8.5% 8.6% 12.6% 12.1% 11.4% 9.5% 8.5% 6.2% 2.6% 1.1%
Scott Harris 15.2% 14.4% 14.3% 13.9% 10.4% 10.0% 7.1% 7.2% 3.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.5%
Kurban Ali 1.1% 1.9% 3.0% 3.2% 4.1% 3.2% 3.7% 6.7% 8.7% 10.1% 17.8% 36.5%
Megan Ploch 2.2% 2.6% 2.8% 3.6% 4.5% 6.5% 8.0% 7.8% 12.6% 13.9% 17.7% 17.8%
David Manley 4.3% 4.5% 5.2% 5.2% 6.8% 8.3% 9.0% 10.9% 12.6% 13.9% 11.4% 7.9%
Allison Chenard 2.3% 2.1% 2.8% 4.6% 4.7% 5.7% 5.7% 8.8% 10.1% 14.0% 19.0% 20.2%
David Beaudry 4.2% 4.3% 3.7% 5.8% 6.7% 7.9% 9.1% 11.4% 10.6% 14.7% 13.7% 7.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.