← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.23+2.00vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.53+5.02vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University2.53+1.45vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University2.14+1.44vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College1.99+0.80vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University2.54-1.55vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami2.07-1.51vs Predicted
-
8Florida State University0.40+1.58vs Predicted
-
9University of South Carolina1.28-1.47vs Predicted
-
10University of Florida1.29-2.45vs Predicted
-
11University of Georgia0.85-2.16vs Predicted
-
12Georgia Institute of Technology0.82-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.0College of Charleston3.230.3%1st Place
-
7.02University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
-
4.45Jacksonville University2.530.1%1st Place
-
5.44Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
-
5.8Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
-
4.45North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
-
5.49University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
-
9.58Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
-
7.53University of South Carolina1.280.0%1st Place
-
7.55University of Florida1.290.0%1st Place
-
8.84University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
-
8.83Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Brown | 26.6% | 24.3% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Koules | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.1% |
| Jack Gower | 14.7% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| TJ Danilek | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Ian Willoughby | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Scott Harris | 14.5% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Richard McCann | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Kurban Ali | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 17.7% | 36.6% |
| David Manley | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 7.9% |
| David Beaudry | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 7.3% |
| Allison Chenard | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 18.9% |
| Megan Ploch | 1.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 19.3% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.