Race 4A

saisa-co-ed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Scott Harris 13.1% 13.7% 11.9% 14.4% 12.6% 11.1% 7.5% 7.9% 4.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.4%
TJ Danilek 7.9% 9.9% 12.3% 10.0% 10.7% 11.6% 10.9% 10.6% 7.1% 4.6% 3.6% 0.8%
David Beaudry 5.3% 3.1% 5.0% 4.9% 6.8% 8.3% 8.2% 10.3% 13.9% 13.0% 13.2% 8.0%
Jack Brown 28.0% 22.5% 15.8% 13.5% 8.9% 5.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Richard McCann 8.7% 10.1% 9.0% 9.6% 12.4% 11.2% 10.5% 9.7% 8.0% 6.1% 3.3% 1.4%
Allison Chenard 2.5% 2.7% 3.5% 4.1% 4.9% 5.5% 5.8% 8.6% 9.7% 14.3% 19.3% 19.1%
Christian Koules 5.5% 6.1% 7.3% 6.0% 8.6% 10.0% 9.6% 11.0% 11.7% 11.4% 7.6% 5.2%
David Manley 4.3% 4.6% 5.9% 5.9% 6.3% 7.8% 9.1% 10.0% 12.5% 14.3% 11.6% 7.7%
Ian Willoughby 7.3% 8.3% 10.4% 12.3% 11.1% 10.0% 13.1% 8.8% 9.2% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0%
Megan Ploch 2.4% 4.1% 2.7% 4.4% 4.2% 5.1% 7.5% 7.7% 10.8% 14.0% 18.2% 18.9%
Jack Gower 13.6% 12.7% 13.7% 12.6% 11.5% 11.2% 9.1% 7.8% 3.5% 2.6% 1.1% 0.6%
Kurban Ali 1.4% 2.2% 2.5% 2.3% 2.0% 2.9% 5.4% 5.9% 8.8% 11.2% 18.5% 36.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.