Race 5A

saisa-co-ed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christian Koules 4.4% 5.9% 6.1% 7.1% 7.0% 9.5% 9.9% 13.0% 13.8% 10.8% 8.9% 3.6%
Jack Gower 11.5% 13.9% 13.8% 14.8% 13.6% 9.5% 9.1% 6.6% 3.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.0%
TJ Danilek 10.5% 7.6% 11.2% 10.0% 10.9% 11.8% 10.6% 10.8% 9.5% 4.5% 2.3% 0.3%
Richard McCann 7.6% 7.2% 12.0% 11.9% 11.1% 12.7% 10.4% 8.5% 8.6% 6.4% 2.9% 0.7%
Alec Fisichella 11.3% 14.3% 13.8% 12.0% 13.2% 10.7% 8.6% 7.4% 3.7% 3.5% 1.3% 0.2%
Jack Brown 27.6% 21.9% 16.2% 12.2% 9.3% 6.3% 3.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Allison Chenard 2.6% 3.4% 3.1% 3.6% 6.1% 5.3% 8.6% 9.2% 10.9% 14.0% 16.0% 17.2%
Scott Harris 15.0% 13.5% 12.1% 15.1% 11.4% 9.5% 8.8% 6.9% 4.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Megan Ploch 1.6% 2.9% 2.0% 3.8% 5.4% 6.6% 8.0% 9.8% 11.3% 15.0% 17.7% 15.9%
David Beaudry 3.8% 4.4% 5.5% 5.9% 5.4% 9.2% 9.9% 10.8% 13.3% 12.0% 12.9% 6.9%
Kurban Ali 1.9% 1.9% 1.0% 1.5% 3.2% 3.9% 4.4% 5.9% 9.4% 13.8% 18.0% 35.1%
Sarah DeLoach 2.2% 3.1% 3.2% 2.1% 3.4% 5.0% 8.0% 9.4% 10.8% 14.2% 18.5% 20.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.