Race 9A

saisa-co-ed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jack Brown 27.7% 20.2% 18.9% 12.7% 8.2% 5.5% 3.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Gower 13.6% 14.6% 14.4% 11.9% 13.0% 9.2% 9.0% 6.9% 3.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
TJ Danilek 9.4% 10.2% 10.5% 10.5% 11.0% 11.9% 11.0% 9.8% 7.5% 4.6% 2.7% 0.9%
Kurban Ali 1.2% 1.4% 2.7% 2.1% 3.3% 3.4% 5.1% 6.2% 9.4% 11.0% 17.3% 36.9%
Richard McCann 8.5% 10.4% 9.2% 9.7% 11.6% 12.1% 8.2% 10.1% 8.2% 6.3% 4.5% 1.2%
David Manley 3.9% 4.5% 6.0% 6.1% 4.7% 6.6% 8.8% 11.2% 13.9% 13.7% 11.6% 9.0%
Ian Willoughby 8.4% 10.2% 8.9% 11.5% 10.9% 10.2% 10.2% 9.9% 8.5% 5.6% 4.5% 1.2%
Allison Chenard 1.9% 3.7% 3.5% 4.9% 4.4% 6.9% 6.1% 8.3% 9.9% 13.1% 18.5% 18.8%
David Beaudry 3.7% 4.2% 4.4% 5.8% 8.1% 8.9% 10.8% 10.8% 11.5% 12.7% 11.5% 7.6%
Scott Harris 13.8% 14.1% 13.3% 12.9% 13.0% 10.2% 9.6% 4.9% 5.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
Megan Ploch 2.5% 1.7% 2.8% 4.2% 3.6% 6.2% 6.8% 7.9% 9.2% 16.7% 17.9% 20.5%
Christian Koules 5.4% 4.8% 5.4% 7.7% 8.2% 8.9% 10.9% 12.1% 11.9% 11.3% 9.9% 3.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.