← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College3.44+5.94vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.88+3.61vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.05+5.48vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.40+3.35vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-1.44vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.64+3.95vs Predicted
-
7Maine Maritime Academy1.62+6.07vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont3.11+0.15vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University3.31-1.45vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-3.22vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.73vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University3.21-4.08vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College2.64-3.05vs Predicted
-
14Yale University3.23-6.18vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.70-6.39vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College1.85-4.43vs Predicted
-
18Bates College2.26-6.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.94Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
-
5.61Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
-
8.48Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
-
7.35Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
-
3.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.2%1st Place
-
9.95Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
-
13.07Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
-
8.15University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
-
7.55Roger Williams University3.310.1%1st Place
-
6.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
-
9.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
7.92Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
-
9.95Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
-
7.82Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.61Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
-
12.57Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
-
11.35Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Miller | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 24.1% | 19.1% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Clark | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hulse | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 37.5% | 0.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Clark | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Rob Struckett | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan White | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 26.7% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.