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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.23+2.00vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.07+3.61vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.53+1.43vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.28+3.61vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.84+1.17vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.53+1.00vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.40+2.50vs Predicted
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8University of Florida1.29-0.53vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University2.54-4.76vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.82-1.30vs Predicted
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11Clemson University2.14-5.50vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia0.85-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0College of Charleston3.230.3%1st Place
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5.61University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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4.43Jacksonville University2.530.2%1st Place
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7.61University of South Carolina1.280.0%1st Place
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6.17Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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7.0University of South Florida1.530.1%1st Place
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9.5Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Florida1.290.0%1st Place
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4.24North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.7Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.0%1st Place
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5.5Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Brown | 26.9% | 22.5% | 18.1% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Jack Gower | 15.3% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| David Manley | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 8.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Christian Koules | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
| Kurban Ali | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 35.0% |
| David Beaudry | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 7.0% |
| Scott Harris | 14.0% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Megan Ploch | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 20.5% |
| TJ Danilek | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Allison Chenard | 2.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 19.7% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.