Race 1B

saisa-co-ed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Robert Turigliatto 11.4% 12.0% 11.5% 15.4% 12.2% 13.4% 9.9% 6.6% 4.0% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Alie Toppa 34.6% 28.1% 14.7% 10.0% 7.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chris Kiener 11.2% 10.4% 14.0% 11.4% 13.0% 12.7% 10.6% 8.4% 4.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.2%
Ian Street 1.8% 2.5% 3.3% 4.2% 6.8% 6.7% 9.3% 11.8% 14.5% 16.3% 16.4% 6.4%
Kathryn Bornarth 9.0% 8.4% 11.9% 13.0% 11.2% 11.3% 12.5% 9.6% 5.9% 5.3% 1.6% 0.3%
Matthew Snyder 4.3% 7.3% 6.6% 6.6% 8.4% 11.3% 11.4% 13.2% 14.8% 8.9% 6.0% 1.2%
Mateo Rodriguez 14.8% 13.9% 15.5% 14.5% 12.0% 10.6% 9.4% 5.1% 2.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Harrison Bailey 4.0% 5.7% 5.1% 7.4% 8.0% 9.3% 10.2% 12.3% 14.0% 13.3% 8.8% 1.9%
Daniel Vail 5.3% 6.5% 9.5% 11.5% 12.9% 11.3% 12.0% 12.5% 9.7% 5.9% 2.5% 0.4%
Walker Mullin 1.8% 2.2% 3.7% 2.5% 3.8% 5.6% 5.6% 9.1% 13.0% 18.1% 22.5% 12.1%
Kate Maner 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 1.1% 1.9% 2.5% 5.0% 8.0% 13.4% 64.1%
Theodore Goldenberg 1.2% 2.2% 3.4% 2.7% 2.8% 3.6% 6.2% 8.4% 12.1% 17.3% 27.0% 13.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.