Race 2B

saisa-co-ed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Daniel Vail 6.5% 7.0% 7.8% 8.7% 10.4% 12.4% 12.8% 13.1% 10.1% 6.1% 4.5% 0.6%
Robert Turigliatto 9.9% 12.7% 13.6% 15.5% 13.1% 11.8% 10.1% 6.8% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Chris Kiener 10.4% 11.1% 12.4% 13.1% 12.0% 12.9% 10.8% 9.0% 5.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Kathryn Bornarth 7.5% 10.0% 12.3% 11.9% 14.0% 12.1% 9.5% 7.9% 8.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4%
Alie Toppa 35.6% 26.1% 16.0% 9.0% 6.4% 4.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Street 2.4% 2.6% 4.4% 4.7% 6.0% 5.3% 7.8% 10.7% 14.3% 18.2% 17.8% 5.8%
Matthew Snyder 5.4% 6.6% 7.6% 8.0% 9.4% 9.4% 11.9% 13.5% 11.0% 10.4% 4.8% 2.0%
Mateo Rodriguez 14.9% 14.5% 13.9% 14.9% 10.9% 12.4% 8.8% 4.4% 3.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Harrison Bailey 3.7% 3.9% 5.6% 7.2% 9.5% 10.4% 11.1% 14.0% 13.5% 13.2% 6.3% 1.6%
Walker Mullin 1.4% 2.8% 2.7% 3.6% 4.3% 3.6% 7.7% 8.0% 14.2% 17.0% 22.4% 12.3%
Kate Maner 0.8% 0.3% 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.9% 2.0% 3.9% 3.4% 8.4% 13.0% 64.2%
Theodore Goldenberg 1.5% 2.4% 2.6% 2.2% 3.2% 4.6% 6.3% 8.0% 12.2% 16.6% 27.4% 13.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.