Race 3B

saisa-co-ed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alie Toppa 35.3% 26.8% 15.8% 10.6% 5.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mateo Rodriguez 11.7% 16.0% 14.5% 15.3% 12.7% 10.0% 9.3% 6.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Chris Kiener 11.4% 9.8% 12.8% 11.9% 12.4% 13.8% 12.0% 8.9% 4.6% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Robert Turigliatto 10.4% 12.9% 13.5% 14.3% 12.3% 11.0% 11.6% 7.1% 4.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Daniel Vail 6.3% 6.9% 9.9% 7.7% 10.9% 13.0% 11.3% 11.7% 12.1% 6.6% 3.1% 0.5%
Walker Mullin 1.7% 1.7% 2.8% 3.2% 5.0% 4.3% 6.1% 9.1% 13.2% 22.4% 20.7% 9.8%
Matthew Snyder 5.1% 6.7% 6.3% 8.8% 9.0% 10.0% 11.8% 13.8% 13.5% 9.8% 4.2% 1.0%
Kathryn Bornarth 9.8% 10.1% 11.8% 11.1% 11.6% 12.5% 10.7% 10.3% 7.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Travis Tucker 4.8% 4.9% 8.4% 9.7% 10.2% 10.5% 13.3% 13.6% 12.4% 8.1% 3.8% 0.3%
Kate Maner 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 1.7% 2.0% 2.0% 1.9% 2.1% 4.8% 10.7% 19.8% 53.7%
Ian Street 2.3% 2.8% 2.4% 4.3% 5.6% 7.1% 8.0% 11.9% 16.7% 18.7% 14.1% 6.1%
Robert Beauchamp 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 2.4% 2.5% 2.9% 4.6% 8.3% 14.8% 31.7% 28.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.