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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+1.48vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.22+2.60vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.44+3.46vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.63+1.98vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.12-0.14vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.38-1.73vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.94-1.81vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-0.84+2.71vs Predicted
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9University of Florida1.38-2.57vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina0.72-2.00vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.38-2.07vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48College of Charleston3.370.4%1st Place
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4.6University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
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6.46North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.98Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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4.86Jacksonville University2.120.1%1st Place
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4.27Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.19University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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10.71University of Georgia-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Florida1.380.0%1st Place
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8.0University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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8.93Clemson University0.380.0%1st Place
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10.09Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 35.5% | 24.9% | 17.2% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 9.6% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Vail | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Chris Kiener | 10.7% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.2% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Kate Maner | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 18.5% | 53.8% |
| Matthew Snyder | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Ian Street | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 5.0% |
| Walker Mullin | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 20.6% | 23.0% | 10.3% |
| Robert Beauchamp | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 16.5% | 31.2% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.