Race 5B

saisa-co-ed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Marina Barzaghi 10.1% 10.3% 10.7% 12.9% 14.1% 13.1% 9.4% 8.9% 5.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Chris Kiener 8.0% 14.3% 10.9% 12.1% 12.0% 11.5% 12.0% 9.6% 5.4% 3.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Alie Toppa 35.6% 24.1% 17.0% 10.4% 5.7% 4.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Turigliatto 9.9% 12.5% 14.9% 12.4% 11.3% 11.8% 10.1% 8.7% 4.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.3%
Daniel Vail 5.3% 7.6% 8.2% 9.1% 11.8% 11.4% 10.6% 10.8% 11.2% 8.8% 4.6% 0.6%
Mateo Rodriguez 13.1% 12.7% 14.7% 13.8% 13.5% 9.8% 9.6% 5.7% 4.9% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Travis Tucker 5.6% 5.7% 7.2% 8.3% 8.9% 10.4% 10.4% 12.8% 12.7% 10.7% 5.2% 2.1%
Ian Street 2.8% 3.4% 3.2% 4.7% 5.1% 5.7% 8.8% 8.5% 14.0% 18.9% 17.9% 7.0%
Matthew Snyder 4.2% 4.8% 6.9% 8.6% 9.8% 10.7% 11.2% 13.2% 13.8% 10.6% 5.4% 0.8%
Carrie Marshall 3.3% 2.4% 4.1% 3.9% 3.7% 5.9% 8.1% 10.5% 14.4% 17.4% 18.6% 7.7%
Theodore Goldenberg 1.7% 1.6% 1.4% 2.8% 3.1% 4.1% 5.9% 7.3% 10.5% 15.5% 29.4% 16.7%
Kate Maner 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 2.2% 3.1% 2.7% 6.6% 15.7% 64.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.