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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+1.55vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.12+2.95vs Predicted
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3Florida State University2.38+1.37vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.22+0.76vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.63+1.22vs Predicted
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6University of Florida1.38+0.78vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.29+2.03vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.44-1.44vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.67-0.63vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.16-5.12vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina0.72-2.50vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-0.84-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55College of Charleston3.370.3%1st Place
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4.95Jacksonville University2.120.1%1st Place
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4.37Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.76University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
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6.22Eckerd College1.630.1%1st Place
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6.78University of Florida1.380.0%1st Place
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9.03Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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6.56North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
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8.37Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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4.88University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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8.5University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Georgia-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 33.1% | 27.1% | 16.4% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kiener | 9.0% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.8% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 9.6% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Vail | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Snyder | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 26.9% | 13.8% |
| Travis Tucker | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Carrie Marshall | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 18.5% | 6.4% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Ian Street | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 18.5% | 9.0% |
| Kate Maner | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 14.4% | 66.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.