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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+1.53vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.16+2.87vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.12+1.90vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.63+2.08vs Predicted
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5Florida State University2.38-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.22-1.29vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.17+0.13vs Predicted
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8University of Florida1.38-1.40vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-0.84+1.93vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina0.72-1.82vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.29-1.73vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.67-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53College of Charleston3.370.3%1st Place
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4.87University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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4.9Jacksonville University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.08Eckerd College1.630.1%1st Place
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4.38Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
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7.13North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
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10.93University of Georgia-0.840.0%1st Place
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8.18University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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9.27Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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8.42Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 33.8% | 24.9% | 19.2% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 9.4% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Chris Kiener | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Vail | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 12.4% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 3.1% |
| Matthew Snyder | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Kate Maner | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 15.1% | 61.8% |
| Ian Street | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 7.0% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 18.1% | 24.9% | 17.5% |
| Carrie Marshall | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 20.8% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.