Race 8B

saisa-co-ed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alie Toppa 33.8% 25.4% 17.4% 11.3% 5.9% 3.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 8.9% 13.2% 12.6% 12.2% 14.2% 11.9% 9.4% 8.4% 4.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Mateo Rodriguez 14.3% 11.4% 14.8% 14.1% 14.1% 10.5% 9.7% 6.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Robert Turigliatto 9.5% 13.1% 13.9% 14.0% 12.6% 11.8% 10.0% 6.7% 5.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Harrison Bailey 3.0% 5.3% 5.2% 6.6% 7.5% 9.8% 9.1% 12.7% 14.3% 13.0% 10.7% 2.8%
Chris Kiener 11.1% 10.0% 11.6% 13.2% 13.2% 11.9% 10.2% 8.5% 5.8% 3.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Daniel Vail 7.0% 6.9% 8.8% 9.7% 10.1% 11.6% 12.1% 12.2% 9.9% 6.9% 3.3% 1.5%
Matthew Snyder 5.6% 6.1% 5.9% 7.7% 8.9% 11.6% 10.6% 12.3% 13.3% 9.5% 6.9% 1.6%
Theodore Goldenberg 1.4% 1.6% 1.9% 2.1% 3.3% 4.7% 7.6% 8.9% 11.7% 17.9% 26.0% 12.9%
Ian Street 2.6% 3.2% 3.6% 4.8% 5.3% 5.4% 8.5% 11.1% 14.5% 17.1% 16.3% 7.6%
Kate Maner 0.9% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 2.1% 3.2% 2.8% 7.2% 14.1% 65.7%
Carrie Marshall 1.9% 3.2% 3.6% 3.6% 3.8% 6.2% 9.1% 9.3% 14.2% 18.3% 19.0% 7.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.