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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+1.52vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.44+4.52vs Predicted
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3University of Florida1.38+3.57vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.38+0.42vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.22-0.32vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.72+2.12vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.12-2.16vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.63-2.05vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.16-4.34vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.38-1.30vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-0.91vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-0.96-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52College of Charleston3.370.3%1st Place
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6.52North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.57University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
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4.42Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
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8.12University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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4.84Jacksonville University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.95Eckerd College1.630.1%1st Place
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4.66University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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8.7Clemson University0.380.0%1st Place
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10.09Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Georgia-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 34.9% | 23.9% | 18.9% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Snyder | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 10.9% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 21.6% | 14.3% | 4.2% |
| Chris Kiener | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vail | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 10.1% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Walker Mullin | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 20.9% | 21.4% | 8.2% |
| Robert Beauchamp | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 32.5% | 27.4% |
| Amanda Heckler | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 9.3% | 18.8% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.