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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+5.65vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+6.41vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.44+4.05vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.31+2.69vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-2.43vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.64+2.92vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+1.41vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.11-0.81vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.88-4.47vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.85+1.59vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.64-2.08vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.21-5.17vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.23-6.09vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.40-7.87vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.70-6.43vs Predicted
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17Bates College2.26-5.66vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.62-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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8.41Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.05Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.69Roger Williams University3.310.1%1st Place
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3.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.2%1st Place
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9.92Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.19University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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5.53Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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12.59Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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9.92Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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7.91Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.13Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.57Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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11.34Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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13.22Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Duffett | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 24.4% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Clark | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 20.1% | 25.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Clark | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Rob Struckett | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan White | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hulse | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 38.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.