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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+5.65vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+7.18vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.11+5.25vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-0.35vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.21+2.92vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.31+0.65vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.44-0.84vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.88-3.55vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.05-1.56vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.23-3.10vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.64-2.11vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.40-5.72vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.85-1.54vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.70-5.39vs Predicted
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16Bates College2.26-4.66vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.64-7.11vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.62-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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3.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.2%1st Place
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7.92Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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7.65Roger Williams University3.310.1%1st Place
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7.16Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.44Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.9Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.89Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
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7.28Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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12.46Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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9.61Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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11.34Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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9.89Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
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13.18Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Duffett | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 22.6% | 19.1% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Rob Struckett | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Clark | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 17.9% | 25.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan White | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Clark | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hulse | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 18.3% | 36.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.