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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas-0.45+2.01vs Predicted
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2Tulane University0.32+0.15vs Predicted
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3Tulane University0.68-1.18vs Predicted
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4Baylor University-1.78+0.45vs Predicted
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5Loyola University New Orleans-2.09-0.19vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-2.00-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of Texas-0.450.1%1st Place
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2.15Tulane University0.320.3%1st Place
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1.82Tulane University0.680.5%1st Place
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4.45Baylor University-1.780.0%1st Place
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4.81Loyola University New Orleans-2.090.0%1st Place
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4.75Texas A&M University-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederik Winguth | 13.4% | 20.0% | 33.3% | 21.4% | 8.9% | 3.0% |
| Katherine Byrnes | 33.8% | 31.8% | 22.4% | 9.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Kit Stoll | 45.3% | 33.8% | 15.3% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| brock Peloquin | 3.4% | 5.9% | 11.6% | 24.5% | 30.6% | 24.0% |
| Natalie Kulka | 2.3% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 18.9% | 28.7% | 37.9% |
| Nolan Bradberry | 1.8% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 20.7% | 29.3% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.