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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University0.68+1.25vs Predicted
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2Tulane University0.32+0.66vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University-2.00+2.40vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.65-1.66vs Predicted
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5Rice University-0.61-1.15vs Predicted
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6Loyola University New Orleans-1.96-0.62vs Predicted
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7Baylor University-2.81-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Tulane University0.680.3%1st Place
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2.66Tulane University0.320.2%1st Place
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5.4Texas A&M University-2.000.0%1st Place
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2.34University of Texas0.650.3%1st Place
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3.85Rice University-0.610.1%1st Place
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5.38Loyola University New Orleans-1.960.0%1st Place
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6.12Baylor University-2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kit Stoll | 34.8% | 27.2% | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Byrnes | 21.9% | 25.8% | 26.4% | 18.1% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Nolan Bradberry | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 8.5% | 26.7% | 32.1% | 22.7% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 30.1% | 27.4% | 25.9% | 12.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Loren Young | 6.7% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 31.8% | 21.3% | 9.8% | 1.8% |
| Sydney Rockwell | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 11.9% | 26.3% | 32.3% | 20.8% |
| Annie Arvidson | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 13.0% | 22.4% | 54.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.