← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
19.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+2.41vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California2.18+4.04vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+6.55vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.17-0.57vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Irvine-0.09+8.86vs Predicted
-
6San Diego State University0.56+5.71vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.66+0.90vs Predicted
-
8California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+7.10vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University0.46+2.96vs Predicted
-
10University of Hawaii2.28-4.34vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego1.45-2.54vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles0.52-0.08vs Predicted
-
13California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-4.50vs Predicted
-
14University of Washington1.74-6.67vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-6.60vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Berkeley0.73-5.03vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Davis-0.19-2.83vs Predicted
-
18California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-2.90vs Predicted
-
19Arizona State University-2.34-0.12vs Predicted
-
20Santa Clara University-0.95-3.69vs Predicted
-
21California State University Channel Islands-0.97-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.41University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.2%1st Place
-
6.04University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
-
9.55University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
-
3.43Stanford University3.170.2%1st Place
-
13.86University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
-
11.71San Diego State University0.560.0%1st Place
-
7.9University of California at Berkeley1.660.0%1st Place
-
15.1California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
-
11.96Western Washington University0.460.0%1st Place
-
5.66University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
-
8.46University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
-
11.92University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
8.5California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.0%1st Place
-
7.33University of Washington1.740.0%1st Place
-
8.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
-
10.97University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
-
14.17University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
-
15.1California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
-
18.88Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
-
16.31Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
-
16.45California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Wilson | 23.2% | 21.8% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 23.9% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| James Schrady | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Marijke Jorna | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Spearman | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 13.0% | 67.6% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 18.3% | 24.2% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 24.7% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.