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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.18+5.00vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+1.35vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17+0.49vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.73+7.03vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+10.12vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+2.39vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.28-1.12vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.45+0.34vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.74vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.46+2.03vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.09+2.83vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-3.48vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-0.97+3.58vs Predicted
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14University of Washington1.74-6.59vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley1.66-7.27vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University0.56-4.38vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-7.61vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.19-3.75vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-3.88vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.34-1.17vs Predicted
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21Santa Clara University-0.95-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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3.35University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.2%1st Place
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3.49Stanford University3.170.2%1st Place
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11.03University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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15.12California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.39California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.0%1st Place
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5.88University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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8.34University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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11.74University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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12.03Western Washington University0.460.0%1st Place
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13.83University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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16.58California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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7.73University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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11.62San Diego State University0.560.0%1st Place
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9.39University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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14.25University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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15.12California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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18.83Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
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16.45Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 9.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Wilson | 23.1% | 20.6% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 22.8% | 18.7% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marijke Jorna | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 26.4% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Schrady | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Mary Spearman | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 14.1% | 65.3% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 18.5% | 22.3% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.