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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.18+4.87vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+12.65vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+2.67vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.74+3.25vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-1.57vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+2.10vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.17-3.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.73+2.87vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.66-1.58vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-1.81vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.46+0.64vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego1.45-3.44vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University0.56-1.83vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-4.63vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.52-3.67vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-0.29vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-0.19-3.34vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-0.95-2.21vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-4.35vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.34-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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14.65California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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5.67University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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7.25University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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3.43University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.2%1st Place
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8.1California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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3.41Stanford University3.170.2%1st Place
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10.87University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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7.42University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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8.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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11.64Western Washington University0.460.0%1st Place
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8.56University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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11.17San Diego State University0.560.0%1st Place
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9.37University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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11.33University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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15.71California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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13.66University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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15.79Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
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14.65California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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17.92Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Wilson | 21.5% | 19.3% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 22.9% | 18.8% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marijke Jorna | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Schrady | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 26.2% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 23.8% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Mary Spearman | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 65.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.