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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+13.63vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.18+2.94vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.28+1.56vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.17-1.52vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.66+1.49vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+1.13vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.74-0.52vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-0.82vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-2.67vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego1.45-3.52vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.46-1.55vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University0.56-2.51vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.73-4.36vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-0.28vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-0.19-3.36vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-0.95-2.21vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-4.37vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.34-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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14.63California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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3.35University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.2%1st Place
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5.94University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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3.48Stanford University3.170.2%1st Place
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7.49University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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8.13California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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11.31University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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9.18University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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8.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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8.48University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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11.45Western Washington University0.460.0%1st Place
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11.49San Diego State University0.560.0%1st Place
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10.64University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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15.72California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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13.64University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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15.79Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
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14.63California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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17.92Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Patrick | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Wilson | 24.1% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 19.7% | 20.4% | 18.8% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marijke Jorna | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Schrady | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 25.6% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 18.1% | 23.0% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Mary Spearman | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 7.4% | 15.6% | 64.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.